Easy Predictions

Ten days ago in the Gas Boom Goes Bust post I wrote:

We should expect 2012 to be a year in which we see a variety of knock-on effects:

  • Natural gas producers and investors with poor hedge books and too much debt will end up in bankruptcy court.
  • Drilling operations will focus on liquids-rich plays only.
  • Jobs creation in the natural gas drilling industry will fall well short of expectations.
  • Several older coal-fired plants will close.
  • New wind power generation will fall — especially if the production tax credit is not extended.
  • Natural gas fueled fleet vehicles should become more popular.

These were admittedly easy predictions to make but confirmation is coming in faster than I expected:

At this rate, I expect to hear about cancelled wind turbine projects next week and complaints about missing drilling jobs in a month. Bankruptcies by summer?

[... EDIT ... ]

Oops, should have done a little more research. Here are some more links courtesy of a comment from Paul Nash at The Oil Drum:

More Confirmation

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